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Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.The semiconductor sector bottomed out, and Purran shares rose by more than 17%. The semiconductor sector bottomed out, and Puran shares rose by more than 17%. Zhongke Lanxun, Zhaoyi Innovation, Hengxuan Technology, Shanghai Beiling and Jinghe Jicheng followed suit.

Runjian Co., Ltd. invested and established a number of new energy companies in Guizhou. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Kaili Qida New Energy Co., Ltd., Kaili Xinsheng New Energy Co., Ltd. and Kaili Shunsheng New Energy Co., Ltd. were established, and their legal representatives are all Wen Feng, with a registered capital of 1 million yuan, and their business scope includes: energy-saving management services; Sales of construction machinery; Technical services for solar power generation; Research and development of wind farm related systems; Sales of wind turbines and parts; Power generation technical services, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that all three companies are indirectly wholly-owned by Runjian.Trump supports that American dockers' employers should not replace them with automated equipment. US President-elect Donald Trump met with the leaders of the International Dockers' Association on Thursday and expressed his support for the dockers' union. The union's strike in October led to the closure of ports in the east and the Gulf Coast, and may now strike again. Trump met with Harold Daggett, chairman of the labor union, and Dennis Daggett, his son and executive vice chairman, and then posted on social media: "I have studied automation and know almost everything about it. The money saved is far less than the anxiety, pain and harm it brings to American workers. " The union's strike in October closed all major container ports from Houston to Miami to Boston for three days, and then the union agreed to return to work in exchange for a 61.5% contract salary increase in the next six years.The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1.5 trillion for the 11th consecutive trading day, nearly 70 billion more than yesterday.

South Korean police: A compulsory investigation of Yin Xiyue is being considered. The South Korean police said on the 13th that they are discussing a compulsory investigation of President Yin Xiyue and considering a seizure and search of his communication records and presidential residence. The special investigation team of the National Investigation Headquarters under the South Korean Police Agency held a press conference on the same day, saying that the plan to detain and search the presidential residence in Hannandong, Longshan District, Seoul is in the "discussion stage". The police are considering seizing and searching Yin Xiyue's communication records. (Xinhua News Agency)German authorities predict that the German economy will stagnate in 2025. On the 12th, local time, Kiel Institute for World Economics, one of the authoritative German economic research institutes, released a winter forecast, predicting that the German GDP will stagnate in 2025, neither increasing nor decreasing, which is 0.5% lower than the previous autumn forecast. Germany's GDP will shrink by 0.2% in 2024, compared with the previous autumn forecast of 0.1%. The agency believes that Germany's potential signs of weak economic growth are emerging, not only facing the foreseeable impact of the US tariff increase, but also the domestic industrial crisis is intensifying. (CCTV Finance)Pinduoduo's concept oscillates higher, which is worth buying up by over 10%, and Pinduoduo's concept oscillates higher, which is worth buying up by over 10%. If Yuchen has a daily limit, Yuanlong Yatu, Xuan Ya International, rebate technology, online and offline will follow suit.